WA-08: Changing The Narrative

Matt Stoller is on the ground up in WA-08 to cover Tuesday's mini-general election between Darcy Burner and Republican incumbent Dave Reichert. The election is actually a primary, but since general election foes Dino Rossi and Gov. Christine Gregoire in the gubernatorial race and Burner and Reichert in the WA-08 race will be on the same ballot on Tuesday, it's the closest thing we have to a preview of November's general election.

The Seattle Times explains.

The purpose of the primary is to winnow the field of candidates in races across the state to two people who will appear on the November ballot.

In most cases, the outcome from Tuesday's vote is in little doubt.

Rossi and Gregoire are shoo-ins for the November ballot because of their name recognition and well-funded campaigns. So are Reichert and Burner in the 8th district.

The Times does warn against reading anything into Tuesday's results.

Although more than a million people are expected to vote, the primary shouldn't be viewed as a trial run for the general election. Experience suggests a large proportion of the voters will be party loyalists. Many independents will sit out the primary.

"That's not a good indicator of the state," said Matt Barreto, co-director of the Washington Poll, a public-opinion survey sponsored by the University of Washington. "Especially in Washington, where the largest identification is independent."

But the fact is, a win is a win and if the unexpected happens -- i.e. Dino Rossi beats Christine Gregoire or Darcy Burner beats Dave Reichert -- the narrative could change, which could impact momentum, fundraising, media coverage, etc. That is why Rossi and Gregoire are pouring millions of dollars into what is expected to be a low turnout primary and it is why Matt Stoller is urging people to do what they can to help GOTV for Darcy on Tuesday.

[Reichert's] staffers don't express any worry about this Tuesday's mini-general election, seeing it as irrelevant.  It's hard to tell if that's because they don't really care how it turns out or if Reichert doesn't have the money to compete, having been outraised for six quarters in a row.  Regardless, the gubernatorial election is going to pull Republicans out on Tuesday, so Reichert doesn't have to worry about GOTV.  At the same time, Darcy's the only one up on TV and she's putting out attractive twelve page mini-magazines with articles targeted at female voters.  Pretty smart stuff.

This Tuesday's blanket primary is pretty significant for the race.  If Darcy wins, she can finally put a win on the board and psychologically change the narrative of the race.  Reichert will have his money cut off as he'll be seen as a loser.  If Tuesday sees a tie or a Reichert lead, the narrative will remain as it is, a toss-up or slight advantage for Reichert.  I don't know if the Obama campaign or outside groups are planning to help Darcy's campaign, but this is a turnout game, so volunteers and GOTV work would be useful right now.

If you're in the area, you can help Darcy GOTV HERE. You can also give to her campaign over at ActBlue.



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Re: WA-08: Changing The Narrative (none / 0)

Well, I'm going to go contrarian here, I think Christine IS in a very tough fight and really needs a large Obama turn out in King County's bluest areas to help her, especially in the general.

Somone one here said all the Republics they know in WA state were staunchly McCain folks, well, my experience is 180 degrees the opposite. All the Republicans I know (and, I will admit, most are techies, who got richer then rich THEN decided they hated taxes on the rich) are voting Obama and Rossi. They hate Bush with a passion, and not too hot on McCain, but they detest Christine.

She needs a strong Obama turnout, and I think she will get it.

Now, here is probably where I get firebombed, but I know Darcy is beloved of the netroots, yet I think she is the wrong candidate for that district, demographically.

The red parts of it are strong law and order blue collar, and she is too left to beat Sherrif Dave there.

In the rich parts of the 8th, I think Rodney Tom, who appeals the education and local issues crowd and less about national anti-bush stuff would have had a better shot then Darcy?

Don't get me wrong, I am praying she wins, as Sherrif Dave is a 24 carat fake, but I think she is the wrong candidate for the breakdown on the 8th.

I will be thrilled to be proven wrong.


Our long national nightmare is over...in 17 days!
by WashStateBlue on Sun Aug 17, 2008 at 04:49:54 PM EST

Re: WA-08: Changing The Narrative (none / 0)

I beg to differ that Burner is "too left" for the district.  Fact is she is fiscally conservative, and that should appeal to the district.  She's tech savvy and that should appeal to the district.  She's against the Iraq occupation and that should appeal to the district.  She's Pro-Choice and that should appeal to the district.


On The Road To 2008 - Commentary on issues as we countdown to the next opportunity to change the direction of America
by Daniel K on Mon Aug 18, 2008 at 01:16:33 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: WA-08: Changing The Narrative (none / 0)

Campaign Diaries just released its full race-by-race House ratings, finding that Democrats are continuing to expand the map.


by LeftistAddiction on Sun Aug 17, 2008 at 05:45:32 PM EST


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